Frosinone vs Sassuolo — Serie A preview & stats

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Serie A Serie A·

Frosinone

Sassuolo

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

38%

Draw

26%

Away Win

37%

Both teams score65.0%

Over 2.5 goals57.4%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Frosinone demonstrated a strong home advantage with a high win rate at their stadium and a notable offensive and defensive performance boost when playing there. Sassuolo showed difficulties in away matches, with a high loss rate and a tendency to concede nearly as many chances as they create on the road. The matchup featured a combined xG suggesting an open and competitive game.

Goals

Both teams had a history of scoring in their matches, with a significant share of games featuring goals from both sides. The average xG per game indicated a moderately high scoring potential, supporting the occurrence of multiple goals and end-to-end play throughout the match.

Corners

Both teams averaged a substantial number of corners per game, contributing to a total expected corner count exceeding ten. This reflected the active attacking styles and frequent set-piece opportunities during the match.

Clean Sheets

Given the offensive strengths and the xG figures for both sides, clean sheets were less common in their encounters. The defensive records suggested that both teams were more likely to concede, especially considering Sassuolo's away form and Frosinone's attacking advantage at home.

Frosinone hosted Sassuolo in a Serie A match marked by strong home form and balanced attacking potential.

Recent form and stats

How both teams are playing right now, over two windows — one long, one short. A gap between the two says a trend is shifting.

Last 5 matches

FrosinonevsSassuolo

2.00PPG+67%1.20

60.0%Wins20.0%

1.60Goals/G+0%1.60

1.40Conceded↓ less is better+14%1.60

60.0%Both teams score100.0%

60.0%Over 2.5 goals60.0%

20.0%No goal conceded0.0%

5.0Corners / game+7%5.3

2.3Cards / game+248%0.7

Goals · 1st half

100.0%Over 1.5 goals100.0%

20.0%Over 3.5 goals40.0%

100.0%A goal in 1st half40.0%

0.0%Both teams score · 1st half20.0%

Based on the last 5 matches.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Wins: The share of matches won. A draw does not count here, even though it earns a point.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.
Corners / game: Corners won per game, on average. Neither good nor bad in itself: it is a style trait.
Cards / game: Cards received per game, on average — yellow and red combined.
Over 1.5 goals: The share of matches with 2 goals or more.
Over 3.5 goals: The share of matches with 4 goals or more.
A goal in 1st half: The share of matches where at least one goal was scored before half-time.
Both teams score · 1st half: The share of matches where both teams had scored BEFORE half-time.

Recent form

Frosinone

LWWDW

Sassuolo

DLWDD

Most recent on the left.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Frosinone · at homevsSassuolo · away

2.00PPG+506%0.33

1.67Goals/G+26%1.33

1.00Conceded↓ less is better+100%2.00

33.0%Both teams score100.0%

33.0%Over 2.5 goals100.0%

33.0%No goal conceded0.0%

Based on 3 home matches / 3 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

FrosinonevsSassuolo

1.60xG for+28%2.05

2.05xG against↓ less is better+15%1.79

Based on 3 home matches / 3 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

1.60Frosinone

3.65Total

2.05Sassuolo

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 60% BTTS · 2.87 goals per game, i.e. 1.43 per team

Balanced league

Frosinonevs league avgSassuolo

1.50+5%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.43↑ more is better1.67+17%

1.17−18%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.43↓ less is better1.67+17%

33.0%−27 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 60.0%100.0%+40 pts

5.50+16%CornersLeague avg 4.754.33−9%

2.00+17%CardsLeague avg 1.711.33−22%

Based on 20 teams for the league averages; 6 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Estimates & Standings

Where each team sits in the table, plus projected figures for this match.

Frosinone#9

Sassuolo#11

3.00Expected goals

67%Over 2.5 goals

67%Both teams score

10.3Corners

3.0Cards

Head to head — 13 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

15%

23%

62%

Based on 13 matches

avg goals/game3.15

Frosinone · at home

1-0-5

6 matches · 6-12 goals

Sassuolo · away

5-0-1

6 matches · 12-6 goals

Last 10 meetings

2 Sept 2026awayFrosinone1-1Sassuolo

13 May 2025awayFrosinone1-0Sassuolo

14 Dec 2024homeFrosinone1-2Sassuolo

9 Mar 2024awayFrosinone0-1Sassuolo

17 Sept 2023homeFrosinone4-2Sassuolo

5 May 2019awayFrosinone2-2Sassuolo

16 Dec 2018homeFrosinone0-2Sassuolo

8 May 2016homeFrosinone0-1Sassuolo

6 Jan 2016awayFrosinone2-2Sassuolo

21 May 2011homeFrosinone1-2Sassuolo

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Frosinone

Coming into this game, Frosinone has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Frosinone has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Frosinone will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Sassuolo, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1

Just 2 of the last 5 games for Frosinone has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/6 games for Frosinone this season.

Sassuolo

Coming into this game, Sassuolo has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Sassuolo has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Sassuolo will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Frosinone, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2

The last 5 games for Sassuolo has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Sassuolo has seen a total of 6/6 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 100% of all matches played.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.