Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen — Eredivisie preview & stats

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Go Ahead Eagles

Groningen

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

40%

Draw

26%

Away Win

34%

Both teams score71.4%

Over 2.5 goals69.8%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Both Go Ahead Eagles and Groningen demonstrated effective offensive capabilities, each maintaining approximately a 50% win rate at home and away respectively. The teams had a history of scoring in their encounters, contributing to a dynamic and open match environment.

Goals

The combined xG for the match was around 3.54, reflecting a game with three or more goals. Both teams scored, continuing a pattern of both teams scoring in their previous meetings. The goal distribution indicated an active offensive display from the start.

Corners

The match featured an average of 8.5 corners, with Go Ahead Eagles averaging 5.5 corners per game at home and Groningen averaging 3.0 corners away. This corner count aligned with the teams' attacking tendencies and contributed to the overall match intensity.

Clean Sheets

Neither team maintained a clean sheet, reflecting the match's offensive nature and the defensive challenges both sides faced during the game.

Go Ahead Eagles and Groningen showed strong attacking performances with multiple goals and active play.

Recent form and stats

How both teams are playing right now, over two windows — one long, one short. A gap between the two says a trend is shifting.

Last 5 matches

Go Ahead EaglesvsGroningen

1.60PPG+14%1.40

40.0%Wins40.0%

2.80Goals/G+27%2.20

2.40Conceded↓ less is better+0%2.40

100.0%Both teams score100.0%

100.0%Over 2.5 goals100.0%

0.0%No goal conceded0.0%

5.5Corners / game+83%3.0

1.5Cards / game+50%1.0

Goals · 1st half

100.0%Over 1.5 goals100.0%

100.0%Over 3.5 goals80.0%

100.0%A goal in 1st half100.0%

40.0%Both teams score · 1st half60.0%

Based on the last 5 matches.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Wins: The share of matches won. A draw does not count here, even though it earns a point.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.
Corners / game: Corners won per game, on average. Neither good nor bad in itself: it is a style trait.
Cards / game: Cards received per game, on average — yellow and red combined.
Over 1.5 goals: The share of matches with 2 goals or more.
Over 3.5 goals: The share of matches with 4 goals or more.
A goal in 1st half: The share of matches where at least one goal was scored before half-time.
Both teams score · 1st half: The share of matches where both teams had scored BEFORE half-time.

Recent form

Go Ahead Eagles

DLWDW

Groningen

DLLWW

Most recent on the left.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Go Ahead Eagles · at homevsGroningen · away

3.00PPG+100%1.50

3.50Goals/G+40%2.50

1.00Conceded↓ less is better+200%3.00

100.0%Both teams score100.0%

100.0%Over 2.5 goals100.0%

0.0%No goal conceded0.0%

Based on 2 home matches / 2 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

Go Ahead EaglesvsGroningen

1.94xG for+20%1.62

1.25xG against↓ less is better+66%2.07

Based on 2 home matches / 2 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

1.93Go Ahead Eagles

3.54Total

1.61Groningen

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 78% BTTS · 3.97 goals per game, i.e. 1.98 per team

High-scoring league

Go Ahead Eaglesvs league avgGroningen

2.80+41%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.98↑ more is better2.20+11%

2.40+20%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.99↓ less is better2.40+20%

100.0%+22 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 77.6%100.0%+22 pts

5.20+1%CornersLeague avg 5.135.20+1%

0.80−43%CardsLeague avg 1.411.20−15%

Based on 18 teams for the league averages; 5 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Estimates & Standings

Where each team sits in the table, plus projected figures for this match.

Go Ahead Eagles#7

Groningen#10

5.00Expected goals

8.5Corners

2.5Cards

Head to head — 14 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

14%

36%

50%

Based on 14 matches

avg goals/game2.43

Go Ahead Eagles · at home

1-3-3

7 matches · 11-13 goals

Groningen · away

3-3-1

7 matches · 13-11 goals

Last 10 meetings

11 Apr 2026awayGo Ahead Eagles0-0Groningen

21 Dec 2025homeGo Ahead Eagles1-1Groningen

18 Jan 2025homeGo Ahead Eagles2-1Groningen

29 Sept 2024awayGo Ahead Eagles1-0Groningen

7 May 2023homeGo Ahead Eagles1-1Groningen

21 Aug 2022awayGo Ahead Eagles0-1Groningen

6 Feb 2022awayGo Ahead Eagles1-2Groningen

21 Nov 2021homeGo Ahead Eagles0-1Groningen

22 Apr 2017homeGo Ahead Eagles2-3Groningen

18 Dec 2016awayGo Ahead Eagles1-1Groningen

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Go Ahead Eagles

Coming into this game, Go Ahead Eagles has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Go Ahead Eagles has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Go Ahead Eagles will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Groningen, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2

The last 5 games for Go Ahead Eagles has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Go Ahead Eagles has seen a total of 5/5 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 100% of all matches played.

Groningen

Coming into this game, Groningen has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Groningen has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.

The last 5 games for Groningen has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Groningen has seen a total of 5/5 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 100% of all matches played.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.