Cambuur vs AZ — Eredivisie preview & stats

← Back to Today

Free Preview — Subscribe for every pick and full access

Eredivisie Eredivisie·

Cambuur

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

27%

Draw

27%

Away Win

46%

Both teams score60.0%

Over 2.5 goals52.8%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

AZ recorded a 75% win rate in away matches compared to Cambuur's 25% win rate at home, illustrating a difference in home and away performance levels. AZ's away xG was notably higher than Cambuur's home xG, reflecting a greater attacking output on the road. Past meetings between these teams averaged a combined xG of 3.45 per game, indicating that matches between them have typically involved multiple scoring opportunities.

Goals

The data showed both teams scoring in many matches, with a BTTS (both teams to score) xG of 1.47 and a BTTS no xG of 2.50, reflecting frequent goals from both sides. The overall xG figures corresponded with matches featuring over 2.5 goals, consistent with the attacking tendencies of AZ and Cambuur's ability to create chances at home.

Corners

Matches involving these teams averaged around 11.75 corners per game. Cambuur generally generated more corners per game than AZ, contributing to numerous set-piece situations. This high corner count reflected the attacking styles and defensive pressures observed in their encounters.

Clean Sheets

AZ's attacking efficiency on the road contrasted with Cambuur's home defensive record, which has allowed for closely contested scorelines. The data indicated that clean sheets have been relatively uncommon in fixtures between these sides, with both teams contributing to the scoring.

Cambuur hosted AZ in the Eredivisie, featuring contrasting home and away performances and notable attacking statistics.

Recent form and stats

How both teams are playing right now, over two windows — one long, one short. A gap between the two says a trend is shifting.

Last 5 matches

CambuurvsAZ

1.60PPG+14%1.40

40.0%Wins40.0%

1.60Goals/G+100%0.80

1.40Conceded↓ less is better+40%1.00

60.0%Both teams score40.0%

60.0%Over 2.5 goals20.0%

40.0%No goal conceded20.0%

3.5Corners / game+136%8.3

0.8Cards / game+167%2.0

Goals · 1st half

80.0%Over 1.5 goals60.0%

40.0%Over 3.5 goals0.0%

60.0%A goal in 1st half60.0%

0.0%Both teams score · 1st half0.0%

Based on the last 5 matches.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Wins: The share of matches won. A draw does not count here, even though it earns a point.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.
Corners / game: Corners won per game, on average. Neither good nor bad in itself: it is a style trait.
Cards / game: Cards received per game, on average — yellow and red combined.
Over 1.5 goals: The share of matches with 2 goals or more.
Over 3.5 goals: The share of matches with 4 goals or more.
A goal in 1st half: The share of matches where at least one goal was scored before half-time.
Both teams score · 1st half: The share of matches where both teams had scored BEFORE half-time.

Recent form

Cambuur

WDWDL

WLWLD

Most recent on the left.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Cambuur · at homevsAZ · away

0.75PPG+200%2.25

1.50Goals/G+50%2.25

3.25Conceded↓ less is better+160%1.25

50.0%Both teams score50.0%

100.0%Over 2.5 goals50.0%

25.0%No goal conceded25.0%

Based on 4 home matches / 4 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

CambuurvsAZ

1.17xG for+95%2.28

1.73xG against↓ less is better+53%1.13

Based on 4 home matches / 4 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

1.17Cambuur

3.45Total

2.28AZ

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 70% BTTS · 3.79 goals per game, i.e. 1.90 per team

High-scoring league

Cambuurvs league avgAZ

1.38−27%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.90↑ more is better2.25+19%

2.38+26%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.90↓ less is better1.00−47%

63.0%−7 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 70.2%50.0%−20 pts

3.88−25%CornersLeague avg 5.188.25+59%

1.75+18%CardsLeague avg 1.481.13−24%

Based on 18 teams for the league averages; 8 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Estimates & Standings

Where each team sits in the table, plus projected figures for this match.

Cambuur#13

AZ#3

4.13Expected goals

75%Over 2.5 goals

50%Both teams score

11.8Corners

2.8Cards

Head to head — 11 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

36%

64%

Based on 11 matches

avg goals/game2.09

Cambuur · at home

0-2-3

5 matches · 2-7 goals

AZ · away

3-2-0

5 matches · 7-2 goals

Last 10 meetings

25 Feb 2023awayCambuur1-2AZ

28 Aug 2022homeCambuur0-1AZ

22 Jan 2022awayCambuur0-0AZ

3 Oct 2021homeCambuur1-3AZ

2 Mar 2017awayCambuur0-0AZ

27 Jan 2016awayCambuur1-3AZ

17 Oct 2015homeCambuur1-1AZ

21 Mar 2015awayCambuur1-2AZ

29 Nov 2014homeCambuur0-2AZ

30 Mar 2014homeCambuur0-0AZ

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Cambuur

Coming into this game, Cambuur has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Cambuur has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.

AZ's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Cambuur from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.

Momentum is really building for Cambuur as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.

Cambuur will be looking to keep up the momentum today against AZ, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2

In the last 5 matches for Cambuur, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (63% of all matches) involving Cambuur has seen BTTS landing.

Coming into this game, AZ has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. AZ has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.

AZ will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Cambuur, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1

In the last 5 matches for AZ, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (50% of all matches) involving AZ has seen BTTS landing.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.