Feyenoord vs Utrecht — Eredivisie preview & stats

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Eredivisie Eredivisie·

Feyenoord

Utrecht

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

66%

Draw

20%

Away Win

14%

Both teams score72.4%

Over 2.5 goals77.5%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Feyenoord demonstrated a 60% home win rate with a home xG around 2.45, while Utrecht's away xG was approximately 1.45. The historical xG for matches between these teams averaged about 4.55, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games.

Goals

The direct encounters between Feyenoord and Utrecht consistently produced more than 2.5 goals, with all previous matches exceeding this total. Both teams scored in many of their recent meetings, although first-half goals from both sides were less frequent, occurring in about 17% of games. Goals were observed more frequently in the later stages of matches.

Corners

The average total corners per game between these teams stood at roughly 11.8, with Feyenoord averaging 8.5 corners per home game and Utrecht about 3.33 away. Feyenoord contributed the majority of corners, while Utrecht added fewer but still influenced the total count.

Clean Sheets

The information did not specify clean sheet statistics for this fixture or the teams involved.

Feyenoord hosted Utrecht in an Eredivisie match characterized by a strong home advantage and notable attacking statistics.

Recent form and stats

How both teams are playing right now, over two windows — one long, one short. A gap between the two says a trend is shifting.

Last 5 matches

FeyenoordvsUtrecht

2.00PPG+100%1.00

60.0%Wins20.0%

3.60Goals/G+80%2.00

2.00Conceded↓ less is better+70%3.40

80.0%Both teams score100.0%

100.0%Over 2.5 goals100.0%

20.0%No goal conceded0.0%

8.5Corners / game+155%3.3

Goals · 1st half

100.0%Over 1.5 goals100.0%

100.0%Over 3.5 goals80.0%

80.0%A goal in 1st half100.0%

0.0%Both teams score · 1st half40.0%

Based on the last 5 matches.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Wins: The share of matches won. A draw does not count here, even though it earns a point.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.
Corners / game: Corners won per game, on average. Neither good nor bad in itself: it is a style trait.
Cards / game: Cards received per game, on average — yellow and red combined.
Over 1.5 goals: The share of matches with 2 goals or more.
Over 3.5 goals: The share of matches with 4 goals or more.
A goal in 1st half: The share of matches where at least one goal was scored before half-time.
Both teams score · 1st half: The share of matches where both teams had scored BEFORE half-time.

Recent form

Feyenoord

WLWDW

Utrecht

WDLDL

Most recent on the left.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Feyenoord · at homevsUtrecht · away

1.00PPG+33%1.33

2.00Goals/G+0%2.00

2.00Conceded↓ less is better+0%2.00

100.0%Both teams score100.0%

100.0%Over 2.5 goals100.0%

0.0%No goal conceded0.0%

Based on 2 home matches / 3 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

FeyenoordvsUtrecht

3.04xG for+101%1.51

1.19xG against↓ less is better+27%1.51

Based on 2 home matches / 3 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

3.04Feyenoord

4.55Total

1.51Utrecht

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 71% BTTS · 3.86 goals per game, i.e. 1.95 per team

High-scoring league

Feyenoordvs league avgUtrecht

3.33+71%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.95↑ more is better1.83−6%

1.17−39%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.91↓ less is better3.17+66%

67.0%−4 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 71.4%100.0%+29 pts

6.17+16%CornersLeague avg 5.313.33−37%

0.67−52%CardsLeague avg 1.392.17+57%

Based on 18 teams for the league averages; 6 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Estimates & Standings

Where each team sits in the table, plus projected figures for this match.

Feyenoord#3

Utrecht#14

4.00Expected goals

11.8Corners

0.7Cards

Head to head — 33 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

64%

24%

12%

Based on 33 matches

avg goals/game3.06

Feyenoord · at home

13-3-2

18 matches · 34-18 goals

Utrecht · away

2-3-13

18 matches · 18-34 goals

Last 10 meetings

8 Feb 2026awayFeyenoord1-0Utrecht

5 Oct 2025homeFeyenoord3-2Utrecht

12 Jan 2025homeFeyenoord1-2Utrecht

27 Oct 2024awayFeyenoord2-0Utrecht

31 Mar 2024homeFeyenoord4-2Utrecht

20 Dec 2023homeFeyenoord2-1Utrecht

3 Sept 2023awayFeyenoord5-1Utrecht

23 Apr 2023homeFeyenoord3-1Utrecht

8 Jan 2023awayFeyenoord1-1Utrecht

24 Apr 2022homeFeyenoord2-1Utrecht

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Feyenoord

Coming into this game, Feyenoord has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Feyenoord has scored 19 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Feyenoord has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.

Momentum is really building for Feyenoord as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.

Feyenoord is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Utrecht, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 19 goals in those 5 games.

In the last 5 matches for Feyenoord, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (67% of all matches) involving Feyenoord has seen BTTS landing.

Utrecht

Coming into this game, Utrecht has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Utrecht has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Utrecht has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.

Utrecht has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.

The last 5 games for Utrecht has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Utrecht has seen a total of 6/6 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 100% of all matches played.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.