Brest vs Angers SCO — Ligue 1 preview & stats

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Ligue 1 Ligue 1·

Brest

Angers SCO

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

50%

Draw

25%

Away Win

25%

Both teams score48.5%

Over 2.5 goals49.4%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Brest demonstrated strong home performance with a positive offensive and defensive balance, while Angers showed a high away win rate and relied on quick counterattacks and late pressure phases. Brest's home xG averaged around 1.87, and Angers' away xG was about 1.21, combining to a total xG close to historical averages for their encounters.

Goals

The match featured a moderate goal expectation, with historical data showing both teams scored in about half of their meetings. Goals in the second half accounted for roughly a quarter of total goals in similar matches, indicating a tendency for later scoring.

Corners

Brest averaged five corners per game at home, while Angers averaged eight away, leading to an expected total of thirteen corners in the match. Brest typically earned the majority of corners in their home games.

Clean Sheets

Defensive records showed Brest had a slight advantage at home, contributing to a solid defensive foundation. Angers' away performances included effective defensive efforts, balancing the contest and maintaining control throughout the game.

Brest hosted Angers SCO in a Ligue 1 match featuring contrasting home and away strengths.

Recent form and stats

How both teams are playing right now, over two windows — one long, one short. A gap between the two says a trend is shifting.

Last 5 matches

BrestvsAngers SCO

1.00PPG+40%1.40

20.0%Wins40.0%

1.40Goals/G+17%1.20

1.60Conceded↓ less is better+60%1.00

80.0%Both teams score40.0%

80.0%Over 2.5 goals40.0%

0.0%No goal conceded40.0%

5.0Corners / game+60%8.0

1.5Cards / game+0%1.5

Goals · 1st half

80.0%Over 1.5 goals80.0%

40.0%Over 3.5 goals20.0%

100.0%A goal in 1st half80.0%

40.0%Both teams score · 1st half40.0%

Based on the last 5 matches.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Wins: The share of matches won. A draw does not count here, even though it earns a point.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.
Corners / game: Corners won per game, on average. Neither good nor bad in itself: it is a style trait.
Cards / game: Cards received per game, on average — yellow and red combined.
Over 1.5 goals: The share of matches with 2 goals or more.
Over 3.5 goals: The share of matches with 4 goals or more.
A goal in 1st half: The share of matches where at least one goal was scored before half-time.
Both teams score · 1st half: The share of matches where both teams had scored BEFORE half-time.

Recent form

Brest

LLWDD

Angers SCO

WDLWL

Most recent on the left.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Brest · at homevsAngers SCO · away

0.50PPG+300%2.00

1.00Goals/G+50%1.50

1.50Conceded↓ less is better+200%0.50

50.0%Both teams score50.0%

50.0%Over 2.5 goals50.0%

0.0%No goal conceded50.0%

Based on 2 home matches / 2 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

BrestvsAngers SCO

1.98xG for+64%1.21

1.17xG against↓ less is better+56%1.82

Based on 2 home matches / 2 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

1.98Brest

3.19Total

1.21Angers SCO

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 61% BTTS · 2.84 goals per game, i.e. 1.41 per team

Balanced league

Brestvs league avgAngers SCO

1.40−1%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.41↑ more is better1.20−15%

1.60+12%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.43↓ less is better1.00−30%

80.0%+19 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 60.7%40.0%−21 pts

5.60+17%CornersLeague avg 4.807.60+58%

1.20−28%CardsLeague avg 1.681.80+7%

Based on 18 teams for the league averages; 5 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Estimates & Standings

Where each team sits in the table, plus projected figures for this match.

Brest#13

Angers SCO#7

2.25Expected goals

50%Over 2.5 goals

50%Both teams score

13.0Corners

3.0Cards

Head to head — 18 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

50%

22%

28%

Based on 18 matches

avg goals/game2.00

Brest · at home

4-4-1

9 matches · 10-3 goals

Angers SCO · away

1-4-4

9 matches · 3-10 goals

Last 10 meetings

17 May 2026homeBrest1-1Angers SCO

28 Sept 2025awayBrest2-0Angers SCO

9 Mar 2025homeBrest2-0Angers SCO

5 Jan 2025awayBrest0-2Angers SCO

6 Jan 2024homeBrest1-0Angers SCO

29 Jan 2023homeBrest4-0Angers SCO

21 Aug 2022awayBrest3-1Angers SCO

20 Jul 2022awayBrest2-0Angers SCO

20 Mar 2022awayBrest0-1Angers SCO

12 Sept 2021homeBrest1-1Angers SCO

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Brest

Coming into this game, Brest has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Brest has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.

In the last 5 matches for Brest, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (80% of all matches) involving Brest has seen BTTS landing.

Angers SCO

Coming into this game, Angers SCO has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Angers SCO has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Angers SCO has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.

Angers SCO has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.

Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Angers SCO recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?

Angers SCO has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 6 goals.

Showing 5 of 6 trends.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.