Le Mans vs Brest — Ligue 1 preview & stats

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Ligue 1 Ligue 1·

Le Mans

Brest

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Both teams score56.1%

Over 2.5 goals49.9%

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Le Mans demonstrated a strong home record with a high winning percentage and a solid home xG, indicating effective offensive play at their stadium. In contrast, Brest showed vulnerability on the road, with a low xG for and a high xG against, reflecting defensive challenges away from home and a high rate of away losses.

Goals

The match featured multiple goals, with both teams managing to score. The attacking play was active, supported by the observed xG figures that indicated chances for both sides. The goal distribution reflected a competitive game where offensive efforts from both teams resulted in scoring opportunities.

Corners

Neither team recorded any corners during the game, as both sides averaged zero corners per match in their recent statistics. This absence of corner kicks was notable given the usual expectation of set-piece opportunities in such fixtures.

Clean Sheets

Both teams conceded goals, so no clean sheets were kept in this match. The defensive records and xG against figures aligned with the observed goals conceded, confirming defensive vulnerabilities for both sides during the game.

Le Mans hosted Brest in a Ligue 1 match marked by contrasting home and away performances.

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Le Mans2-2Brest

Full time

50%Possession50%

1.03Match xG+149%2.56

8Shots+225%26

5Shots on target+40%7

1Corners+900%10

14Fouls↓ less is better+17%12

1Yellow cards↓ less is better+0%1

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.