Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest — Premier League preview & stats

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Premier League Premier League·

Crystal Palace

Nottingham Forest

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

41%

Draw

32%

Away Win

27%

Both teams score49.2%

Over 2.5 goals49.6%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Crystal Palace showed an increased attacking output at home with an xG higher than their season average, while Nottingham Forest conceded more than they created in away matches. Their previous encounters featured a high average number of goals, indicating open and eventful games. Early goals occurred in about three-quarters of similar matches, influencing the game's momentum.

Goals

The match featured multiple goals, consistent with the historical average of over four combined goals in their meetings. Both teams scored, reflecting a pattern seen in their past encounters where both sides found the net regularly.

Corners

The game included a total of seven corners, aligning with the combined average of four for the home team and three for the visitors. Crystal Palace maintained a slight advantage in winning corners compared to Nottingham Forest in their direct matchups.

Clean Sheets

Neither team kept a clean sheet, as both sides managed to score during the match, continuing the trend of both teams scoring in their recent head-to-head games.

Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest played a lively Premier League match with notable attacking and corner statistics.

Recent form and stats

How both teams are playing right now, over two windows — one long, one short. A gap between the two says a trend is shifting.

Last 5 matches

Crystal PalacevsNottingham Forest

1.40PPG+40%1.00

40.0%Wins20.0%

1.80Goals/G+125%0.80

1.00Conceded↓ less is better+20%1.20

20.0%Both teams score40.0%

60.0%Over 2.5 goals40.0%

60.0%No goal conceded20.0%

4.0Corners / game+33%3.0

2.0Cards / game+75%3.5

Goals · 1st half

80.0%Over 1.5 goals60.0%

40.0%Over 3.5 goals20.0%

80.0%A goal in 1st half20.0%

20.0%Both teams score · 1st half0.0%

Based on the last 5 matches.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Wins: The share of matches won. A draw does not count here, even though it earns a point.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.
Corners / game: Corners won per game, on average. Neither good nor bad in itself: it is a style trait.
Cards / game: Cards received per game, on average — yellow and red combined.
Over 1.5 goals: The share of matches with 2 goals or more.
Over 3.5 goals: The share of matches with 4 goals or more.
A goal in 1st half: The share of matches where at least one goal was scored before half-time.
Both teams score · 1st half: The share of matches where both teams had scored BEFORE half-time.

Recent form

Crystal Palace

LDWLW

Nottingham Forest

LWDDL

Most recent on the left.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Crystal Palace · at homevsNottingham Forest · away

0.00PPG2.00

1.50Goals/G+33%2.00

3.50Conceded↓ less is better+133%1.50

100.0%Both teams score100.0%

100.0%Over 2.5 goals100.0%

0.0%No goal conceded0.0%

Based on 2 home matches / 2 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

Crystal PalacevsNottingham Forest

1.07xG for+55%1.66

1.91xG against↓ less is better+37%1.39

Based on 2 home matches / 2 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

1.07Crystal Palace

2.72Total

1.65Nottingham Forest

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 53% BTTS · 2.85 goals per game, i.e. 1.43 per team

Balanced league

Crystal Palacevs league avgNottingham Forest

1.20−16%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.43↑ more is better0.80−44%

2.20+54%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.43↓ less is better1.00−30%

60.0%+7 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 53.0%40.0%−13 pts

2.40−47%CornersLeague avg 4.563.40−25%

1.60−22%CardsLeague avg 2.062.60+26%

Based on 20 teams for the league averages; 5 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Estimates & Standings

Where each team sits in the table, plus projected figures for this match.

Crystal Palace#15

Nottingham Forest#13

4.25Expected goals

7.0Corners

5.5Cards

Head to head — 18 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

11%

50%

39%

Based on 18 matches

avg goals/game2.06

Crystal Palace · at home

0-6-3

9 matches · 6-13 goals

Nottingham Forest · away

3-6-0

9 matches · 13-6 goals

Last 10 meetings

1 Feb 2026awayCrystal Palace1-1Nottingham Forest

24 Aug 2025homeCrystal Palace1-1Nottingham Forest

5 May 2025homeCrystal Palace1-1Nottingham Forest

21 Oct 2024awayCrystal Palace0-1Nottingham Forest

30 Mar 2024awayCrystal Palace1-1Nottingham Forest

7 Oct 2023homeCrystal Palace0-0Nottingham Forest

28 May 2023homeCrystal Palace1-1Nottingham Forest

12 Nov 2022awayCrystal Palace0-1Nottingham Forest

29 Dec 2012awayCrystal Palace2-2Nottingham Forest

18 Sept 2012homeCrystal Palace1-1Nottingham Forest

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Crystal Palace

Coming into this game, Crystal Palace has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Crystal Palace has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Crystal Palace recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?

Crystal Palace has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 6 goals.

In the last 5 matches for Crystal Palace, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (60% of all matches) involving Crystal Palace has seen BTTS landing.

Nottingham Forest

Coming into this game, Nottingham Forest has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Nottingham Forest has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Nottingham Forest has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.

Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Nottingham Forest recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?

Nottingham Forest has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 60% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.

Just 2 of the last 5 games for Nottingham Forest has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Nottingham Forest this season.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.