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Premier LeaguePremier League·

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
vs
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win
48%
Draw
27%
Away Win
25%
Both teams score53.7%
Over 2.5 goals58.2%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Brighton hosted Aston Villa in the Premier League season opener at the American Express Community Stadium.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Brighton & Hove Albion4-0Aston Villa

Full time

73%Possession27%
2.27Match xG+313%0.55
21Shots+250%6
6Shots on target0
5Corners+150%2
12Fouls↓ less is better+33%9
2Yellow cards↓ less is better+50%3

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Head to head — 18 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

Brighton & Hove Albion
11%
33%
56%
Aston Villa

Based on 18 matches

avg goals/game2.94

Brighton & Hove Albion · at home

1-3-5

9 matches · 8-16 goals

Aston Villa · away

5-3-1

9 matches · 16-8 goals

Last 10 meetings

awayBrighton & Hove Albion0-1Aston Villa
homeBrighton & Hove Albion3-4Aston Villa
homeBrighton & Hove Albion0-3Aston Villa
awayBrighton & Hove Albion2-2Aston Villa
homeBrighton & Hove Albion1-0Aston Villa
awayBrighton & Hove Albion1-6Aston Villa
awayBrighton & Hove Albion1-2Aston Villa
awayBrighton & Hove Albion2-2Aston Villa
homeBrighton & Hove Albion1-2Aston Villa
homeBrighton & Hove Albion0-2Aston Villa

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.