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Premier LeaguePremier League·

Arsenal
Arsenal
vs
Coventry City
Coventry City

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win
75%
Draw
7%
Away Win
18%
Both teams score40.3%
Over 2.5 goals79.2%

Our Prediction

What we're backing on this match. Many matches have none: we only publish those that clear our thresholds.

Subscriber content3 model selection(s) on this match

For every selection: the market, the odds, the gap to market and the model's probability.

HIGH
HIGH
MED

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Arsenal hosted Coventry City in a Premier League match marked by contrasting home and away performances.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Arsenal3-0Coventry City

Full time

65%Possession35%
2.15Match xG+284%0.56
20Shots+400%4
6Shots on target+500%1
8Corners+300%2
10Fouls↓ less is better+30%13
1Yellow cards↓ less is better+0%1

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Head to head — 2 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

Arsenal
100%
0%
0%
Coventry City

Based on 2 matches

avg goals/game5.50

Arsenal · at home

2-0-0

2 matches · 10-1 goals

Coventry City · away

0-0-2

2 matches · 1-10 goals

Last 2 meetings

homeArsenal4-0Coventry City
homeArsenal6-1Coventry City

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.