Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur — Premier League preview & stats

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Premier League Premier League·

Brentford

Tottenham Hotspur

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

46%

Draw

24%

Away Win

30%

Both teams score54.9%

Over 2.5 goals57.4%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Brentford showed a strong home attack with a home xG of 1.69 and a home win rate of 40%. Tottenham demonstrated solid away form, achieving a 75% away win rate with an away xG of 1.46 and a defensive xG against of 0.93. The match reflected a balance between Brentford's home advantage and Tottenham's effective away performances.

Goals

Both teams scored during the match, consistent with their recent scoring trends. The game featured multiple goals, aligning with Brentford's and Tottenham's tendencies to contribute to matches with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

Corners

Neither Brentford nor Tottenham averaged any corners per game in this fixture, resulting in a match without corner kicks.

Clean Sheets

The defensive performances allowed goals from both sides, so neither team kept a clean sheet in this encounter.

Brentford and Tottenham Hotspur faced each other in a closely contested Premier League opener.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Brentford3-0Tottenham Hotspur

Full time

41%Possession59%

2.56Match xG+106%1.24

26Shots+189%9

8Shots on target+100%4

7Corners+133%3

17Fouls↓ less is better+21%14

1Yellow cards↓ less is better+0%1

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Head to head — 11 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

36%

55%

Based on 11 matches

avg goals/game2.64

Brentford · at home

0-4-1

5 matches · 4-6 goals

Tottenham Hotspur · away

1-4-0

5 matches · 6-4 goals

Last 10 meetings

1 Jan 2026homeBrentford0-0Tottenham Hotspur

6 Dec 2025awayBrentford0-2Tottenham Hotspur

2 Feb 2025homeBrentford0-2Tottenham Hotspur

21 Sept 2024awayBrentford1-3Tottenham Hotspur

31 Jan 2024awayBrentford2-3Tottenham Hotspur

13 Aug 2023homeBrentford2-2Tottenham Hotspur

20 May 2023awayBrentford3-1Tottenham Hotspur

26 Dec 2022homeBrentford2-2Tottenham Hotspur

23 Apr 2022homeBrentford0-0Tottenham Hotspur

2 Dec 2021awayBrentford0-2Tottenham Hotspur

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.