Getafe CF vs Rayo Vallecano — La Liga preview & stats

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Getafe CF

Rayo Vallecano

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

44%

Draw

26%

Away Win

31%

Both teams score47.7%

Over 2.5 goals42.3%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Getafe had a stronger home performance with a 50% win rate at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez and an overall home advantage around 80%. Rayo Vallecano showed less offensive productivity away from home, with an away xG of 1.43 and a defensive xG against of 1.99.

Goals

The teams averaged about 2.88 goals per match in their encounters, with both sides scoring in approximately 75% of games. The first half saw fewer goals, with only about 13% of matches featuring goals before halftime, while the second half consistently produced goals, with over 0.5 goals scored in every match historically.

Corners

The match featured an average of 8.75 corners per game, with Getafe averaging 4.75 corners and Rayo Vallecano 4.0. Recent meetings showed a corner count ranging between 7 and 9.

Clean Sheets

Both teams tended to concede goals regularly, as indicated by the high frequency of both teams scoring in their matches and the defensive xG figures, suggesting clean sheets were relatively uncommon in their encounters.

Getafe and Rayo Vallecano met in La Liga with both teams showing tendencies to score and create chances.

Recent form and stats

How both teams are playing right now, over two windows — one long, one short. A gap between the two says a trend is shifting.

Last 5 matches

Getafe CFvsRayo Vallecano

1.00PPG+40%1.40

20.0%Wins40.0%

0.60Goals/G+200%1.80

1.20Conceded↓ less is better+117%2.60

40.0%Both teams score100.0%

20.0%Over 2.5 goals80.0%

20.0%No goal conceded0.0%

4.8Corners / game+19%4.0

3.0Cards / game+50%2.0

Goals · 1st half

60.0%Over 1.5 goals100.0%

0.0%Over 3.5 goals60.0%

40.0%A goal in 1st half100.0%

0.0%Both teams score · 1st half40.0%

Based on the last 5 matches.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Wins: The share of matches won. A draw does not count here, even though it earns a point.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.
Corners / game: Corners won per game, on average. Neither good nor bad in itself: it is a style trait.
Cards / game: Cards received per game, on average — yellow and red combined.
Over 1.5 goals: The share of matches with 2 goals or more.
Over 3.5 goals: The share of matches with 4 goals or more.
A goal in 1st half: The share of matches where at least one goal was scored before half-time.
Both teams score · 1st half: The share of matches where both teams had scored BEFORE half-time.

Recent form

Getafe CF

DLWLD

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Most recent on the left.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Getafe CF · at homevsRayo Vallecano · away

2.00PPG+700%0.25

1.00Goals/G+25%1.25

0.50Conceded↓ less is better+500%3.00

50.0%Both teams score100.0%

0.0%Over 2.5 goals75.0%

50.0%No goal conceded0.0%

Based on 4 home matches / 4 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

Getafe CFvsRayo Vallecano

1.43xG for+0%1.43

1.23xG against↓ less is better+62%1.99

Based on 4 home matches / 4 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

1.43Getafe CF

2.86Total

1.43Rayo Vallecano

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 59% BTTS · 3.07 goals per game, i.e. 1.53 per team

High-scoring league

Getafe CFvs league avgRayo Vallecano

0.50−67%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.53↑ more is better1.57+3%

1.25−19%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.54↓ less is better2.29+49%

25.0%−34 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 58.8%100.0%+41 pts

3.75−23%CornersLeague avg 4.865.29+9%

3.75+53%CardsLeague avg 2.443.00+23%

Based on 20 teams for the league averages; 8 matches played for Getafe CF, 7 for Rayo Vallecano.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Estimates & Standings

Where each team sits in the table, plus projected figures for this match.

Getafe CF#15

Rayo Vallecano#14

2.88Expected goals

38%Over 2.5 goals

75%Both teams score

8.8Corners

5.0Cards

Head to head — 26 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

19%

27%

54%

Based on 26 matches

avg goals/game1.92

Getafe CF · at home

3-4-6

13 matches · 10-14 goals

Rayo Vallecano · away

6-4-3

13 matches · 14-10 goals

Last 10 meetings

3 May 2026homeGetafe CF0-2Rayo Vallecano

2 Jan 2026awayGetafe CF1-1Rayo Vallecano

2 May 2025awayGetafe CF0-1Rayo Vallecano

24 Aug 2024homeGetafe CF0-0Rayo Vallecano

13 Apr 2024awayGetafe CF0-0Rayo Vallecano

2 Jan 2024homeGetafe CF0-2Rayo Vallecano

12 Feb 2023homeGetafe CF1-1Rayo Vallecano

14 Oct 2022awayGetafe CF0-0Rayo Vallecano

8 May 2022homeGetafe CF0-0Rayo Vallecano

18 Sept 2021awayGetafe CF0-3Rayo Vallecano

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Getafe CF

Coming into this game, Getafe CF has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Getafe CF has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Getafe CF has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.

Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Getafe CF recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?

Getafe CF has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 50% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.

Just 2 of the last 5 games for Getafe CF has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/8 games for Getafe CF this season.

Rayo Vallecano

Coming into this game, Rayo Vallecano has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Rayo Vallecano has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Rayo Vallecano has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.

The last 5 games for Rayo Vallecano has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Rayo Vallecano has seen a total of 7/7 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 100% of all matches played.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.