Celta de Vigo vs Racing Santander — La Liga preview & stats

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La Liga La Liga·

Celta de Vigo

Racing Santander

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

52%

Draw

23%

Away Win

25%

Both teams score63.0%

Over 2.5 goals61.7%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Celta de Vigo showed a modest home win rate with a defensive approach, while Racing Santander struggled significantly in away matches, losing all their games on the road. This created a scenario where Celta applied more pressure but maintained a careful, low-risk style.

Goals

The match featured scoring in both halves, aligning with a general trend where about two-thirds of games at this level saw both teams score. The total xG for similar fixtures averaged around two, indicating a moderate scoring game rather than a high-scoring encounter. Goals were more frequent in the second half, as early chances were limited.

Corners

The game produced a combined total of just over seven corners, consistent with the teams' season averages of approximately three and four corners per game for home and away sides respectively. This suggested active flank play and set-piece opportunities that could influence the match outcome.

Clean Sheets

Neither side managed to keep a clean sheet, as both teams scored during the match. This continued the pattern of both teams finding the net in a majority of their recent games, reflecting offensive intent despite cautious tactics.

Celta de Vigo and Racing Santander faced off in a match characterized by cautious play and balanced chances.

Recent form and stats

How both teams are playing right now, over two windows — one long, one short. A gap between the two says a trend is shifting.

Last 5 matches

Celta de VigovsRacing Santander

0.60PPG+100%1.20

0.0%Wins40.0%

0.40Goals/G+350%1.80

1.00Conceded↓ less is better+180%2.80

40.0%Both teams score80.0%

0.0%Over 2.5 goals80.0%

20.0%No goal conceded0.0%

3.3Corners / game+20%4.0

1.0Cards / game+133%2.3

Goals · 1st half

60.0%Over 1.5 goals80.0%

0.0%Over 3.5 goals60.0%

60.0%A goal in 1st half80.0%

0.0%Both teams score · 1st half60.0%

Based on the last 5 matches.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Wins: The share of matches won. A draw does not count here, even though it earns a point.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.
Corners / game: Corners won per game, on average. Neither good nor bad in itself: it is a style trait.
Cards / game: Cards received per game, on average — yellow and red combined.
Over 1.5 goals: The share of matches with 2 goals or more.
Over 3.5 goals: The share of matches with 4 goals or more.
A goal in 1st half: The share of matches where at least one goal was scored before half-time.
Both teams score · 1st half: The share of matches where both teams had scored BEFORE half-time.

Recent form

Celta de Vigo

LDDDL

Racing Santander

LWLWL

Most recent on the left.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Celta de Vigo · at homevsRacing Santander · away

0.33PPG0.00

0.67Goals/G+99%1.33

1.67Conceded↓ less is better+120%3.67

67.0%Both teams score67.0%

33.0%Over 2.5 goals67.0%

0.0%No goal conceded0.0%

Based on 3 home matches / 3 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

Celta de VigovsRacing Santander

1.13xG for+30%0.87

1.50xG against↓ less is better+39%2.09

Based on 3 home matches / 3 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

1.13Celta de Vigo

2.00Total

0.87Racing Santander

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 56% BTTS · 3.06 goals per game, i.e. 1.53 per team

High-scoring league

Celta de Vigovs league avgRacing Santander

0.50−67%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.53↑ more is better1.83+20%

1.00−34%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.53↓ less is better2.67+75%

50.0%−6 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 55.9%83.0%+27 pts

3.33−32%CornersLeague avg 4.934.50−9%

1.83−22%CardsLeague avg 2.352.50+7%

Based on 20 teams for the league averages; 6 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Estimates & Standings

Where each team sits in the table, plus projected figures for this match.

Celta de Vigo#18

Racing Santander#12

3.67Expected goals

50%Over 2.5 goals

67%Both teams score

7.3Corners

3.3Cards

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game5.00

Last meeting

5 Jan 2025awayCelta de Vigo3-2Racing Santander

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Celta de Vigo

Coming into this game, Celta de Vigo has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Celta de Vigo has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Celta de Vigo has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.

Can Celta de Vigo turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.

Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Celta de Vigo recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?

Celta de Vigo has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 50% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 3 goals.

Showing 5 of 6 trends.

Racing Santander

Coming into this game, Racing Santander has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Racing Santander has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.

In the last 5 matches for Racing Santander, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (80% of all matches) involving Racing Santander has seen BTTS landing.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.