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La LigaLa Liga·

Racing Santander
Racing Santander
vs
Villarreal
Villarreal

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win
32%
Draw
29%
Away Win
40%
Both teams score49.5%
Over 2.5 goals41.9%

Our Prediction

What we're backing on this match. Many matches have none: we only publish those that clear our thresholds.

Subscriber content1 model selection(s) on this match

For every selection: the market, the odds, the gap to market and the model's probability.

MED

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Racing Santander hosted Villarreal in the opening match of the 2026/2027 La Liga season at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Racing Santander2-2Villarreal

Full time

41%Possession59%
1.68Match xG+5%1.76
17Shots+42%12
3Shots on target+133%7
6Corners+67%10
14Fouls↓ less is better+0%14
2Yellow cards↓ less is better+100%4

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Head to head — 11 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

Racing Santander
18%
27%
55%
Villarreal

Based on 11 matches

avg goals/game2.27

Racing Santander · at home

2-2-2

6 matches · 7-9 goals

Villarreal · away

2-2-2

6 matches · 9-7 goals

Last 10 meetings

homeRacing Santander2-1Villarreal
awayRacing Santander0-1Villarreal
homeRacing Santander0-3Villarreal
awayRacing Santander1-1Villarreal
homeRacing Santander1-0Villarreal
homeRacing Santander2-2Villarreal
awayRacing Santander0-2Villarreal
homeRacing Santander1-2Villarreal
awayRacing Santander0-2Villarreal
homeRacing Santander1-1Villarreal

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.