Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen — Bundesliga preview & stats

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Bundesliga Bundesliga·

Elversberg

Bayer Leverkusen

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

32%

Draw

19%

Away Win

49%

Both teams score66.9%

Over 2.5 goals75.2%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Elversberg demonstrated a strong home record with an 80% win rate, supported by a home xG of 1.58 and xGA of 0.99, reflecting solid attacking and defensive performances. Bayer Leverkusen showed solid away form, achieving a 67% away win rate, with an away xG of 1.37 and xGA of 1.08, indicating effective offensive and defensive play on the road.

Goals

Both teams displayed indicators of offensive threat, with Elversberg's higher home xG and Leverkusen's consistent away xG reflecting opportunities created by both sides. The match featured multiple chances and goal-scoring opportunities, consistent with the teams' season averages for goals and xG.

Corners

Neither team averaged any corners per game in this fixture, with both Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen recording zero corners on average at home and away respectively.

Clean Sheets

Elversberg's home defensive record, with an xGA below one, reflected a tendency to limit opponents' scoring chances, while Leverkusen's away xGA slightly above one indicated a moderate concession rate on the road.

Elversberg hosted Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga opening week at the URSAPHARM-Arena.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Elversberg3-2Bayer Leverkusen

Full time

33%Possession67%

1.32Match xG+62%2.14

11Shots+91%21

6Shots on target+50%4

4Corners+33%3

18Fouls↓ less is better+20%15

3Yellow cards↓ less is better+50%2

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Head to head — 2 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

50%

Based on 2 matches

avg goals/game5.00

Elversberg · at home

1-0-0

1 match · 4-3 goals

Bayer Leverkusen · away

0-0-1

1 match · 3-4 goals

Last 2 meetings

29 Oct 2024awayElversberg0-3Bayer Leverkusen

30 Jul 2022homeElversberg4-3Bayer Leverkusen

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.