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BundesligaBundesliga·

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
vs
Paderborn
Paderborn

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win
59%
Draw
22%
Away Win
19%
Both teams score50.6%
Over 2.5 goals57.9%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Mainz 05 hosted Paderborn in the Bundesliga season opener at the Mewa Arena.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Mainz 050-0Paderborn

Full time

51%Possession49%
2.20Match xG+142%0.91
22Shots+120%10
4Shots on target0
11Corners+450%2
8Fouls↓ less is better+25%10
1Yellow cards↓ less is better+100%2

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Head to head — 4 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

Mainz 05
75%
25%
0%
Paderborn

Based on 4 matches

avg goals/game3.50

Mainz 05 · at home

2-0-0

2 matches · 7-0 goals

Paderborn · away

0-0-2

2 matches · 0-7 goals

Last 4 meetings

homeMainz 052-0Paderborn
awayMainz 052-1Paderborn
homeMainz 055-0Paderborn
awayMainz 052-2Paderborn

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.