Famalicão vs Gil Vicente — Liga NOS preview & stats

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Liga NOS Liga NOS·

Famalicão

Gil Vicente

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

53%

Draw

27%

Away Win

20%

Both teams score32.3%

Over 2.5 goals35.3%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Famalicão demonstrated a stronger attacking profile at home with a higher xG compared to Gil Vicente's away performance, indicating a more aggressive offensive approach from the hosts. The average xG per match between the two teams suggested a generally compact contest with moderate goal-scoring opportunities.

Goals

The match featured a goal expectation slightly above one, reflecting a tendency for at least one goal to be scored. Both teams had a roughly 50% chance of scoring, consistent with previous encounters. The overall goal environment indicated a moderate scoring game rather than a high-scoring affair.

Corners

The teams averaged a combined total of nine corners per game, with Famalicão contributing five and Gil Vicente four on average. This suggested a moderate number of set-piece opportunities without an excessive number of corners during the match.

Clean Sheets

Both teams had a balanced defensive outlook, with neither side strongly dominating in clean sheet records. The tendency for both sides to concede was consistent with the observed pattern of both teams scoring in about half of their meetings.

Famalicão hosted Gil Vicente in a Liga NOS match characterized by moderate attacking expectations and balanced defensive records.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Famalicão0-0Gil Vicente

Full time

56%Possession44%

0.92Match xG+24%0.74

7Shots+0%7

1Shots on target+0%1

6Corners+100%3

10Fouls↓ less is better+90%19

2Yellow cards↓ less is better+100%4

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Match xG 0.92–0.74 · pre-match xG 1.58–—

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Famalicão · at homevsGil Vicente · away

0.00PPG0.00

1.00Goals/G0.00

2.00Conceded↓ less is better0.00

100.0%Both teams score0.0%

100.0%Over 2.5 goals0.0%

0.0%No goal conceded0.0%

Based on 1 home matches / 0 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

FamalicãovsGil Vicente

1.58xG for—

1.15xG against↓ less is better—

Based on 1 home matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

1.58Famalicão

1.58Total

—Gil Vicente

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 45% BTTS · 2.94 goals per game, i.e. 1.48 per team

High-scoring league

Famalicãovs league avgGil Vicente

0.67−55%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.48↑ more is better1.50+2%

1.33−9%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.47↓ less is better0.00−100%

67.0%+22 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 45.3%0.0%−45 pts

6.67+64%CornersLeague avg 4.074.00−2%

2.00−4%CardsLeague avg 2.071.00−52%

Based on 18 teams for the league averages; 3 matches played for Famalicão, 2 for Gil Vicente.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Standings

Where each team sits in its league table.

Famalicão#15

Gil Vicente#6

Head to head — 20 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

50%

30%

20%

Based on 20 matches

avg goals/game2.50

Famalicão · at home

4-4-2

10 matches · 13-9 goals

Gil Vicente · away

2-4-4

10 matches · 9-13 goals

Last 10 meetings

1 Feb 2026awayFamalicão0-5Gil Vicente

24 Aug 2025homeFamalicão0-0Gil Vicente

17 Feb 2025awayFamalicão2-0Gil Vicente

14 Sept 2024homeFamalicão1-1Gil Vicente

29 Mar 2024awayFamalicão2-1Gil Vicente

4 Nov 2023homeFamalicão3-1Gil Vicente

12 Feb 2023homeFamalicão0-1Gil Vicente

22 Aug 2022awayFamalicão0-0Gil Vicente

15 Apr 2022homeFamalicão2-2Gil Vicente

5 Dec 2021awayFamalicão0-4Gil Vicente

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.