Víkingur Reykjavík vs Thun — Europa League preview & stats

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Europa League Europa League·

Víkingur Reykjavík

Thun

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

36%

Draw

24%

Away Win

40%

Both teams score57.0%

Over 2.5 goals68.0%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Víkingur Reykjavík demonstrated a strong home performance with an 80% win rate at Víkingsvöllur, while Thun showed weaker away form, winning only 17% of their matches on the road. The xG figures reflected this difference, with Víkingur Reykjavík generating higher home xG and conceding fewer chances compared to Thun's away xG and defensive record.

Goals

Historical encounters between the two teams indicated a tendency for high-scoring games, with all previous matches featuring more than two and a half goals. Both teams scored in past meetings, as previous matches consistently resulted in goals from both sides.

Corners

The match featured an average of around ten corners combined, with Víkingur Reykjavík averaging four corners per game at home and Thun averaging six corners per game away. This indicated an active contest in terms of set-piece opportunities.

Clean Sheets

Víkingur Reykjavík's defensive record at home was notably better, conceding fewer chances and maintaining a stronger defensive presence compared to Thun's away performances, which allowed more xG against them.

Víkingur Reykjavík hosted Thun in a Europa League match featuring contrasting home and away performances.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

Expected in this match

0.94Víkingur Reykjavík

3.48Total

2.54Thun

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 45% BTTS · 2.46 goals per game, i.e. 1.12 per team

Balanced league

Víkingur Reykjavíkvs league avgThun

0.00−100%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.12↑ more is better3.00+168%

3.00+124%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.34↓ less is better0.00−100%

0.0%−45 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 45.1%0.0%−45 pts

4.00−17%CornersLeague avg 4.836.00+24%

2.00−2%CardsLeague avg 2.042.00−2%

Based on 41 teams for the league averages; 1 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game3.00

Last meeting

6 Aug 2026awayVíkingur Reykjavík0-3Thun

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.