Kairat vs Levski Sofia — Champions League preview & stats

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Champions League Champions League·

Kairat

Levski Sofia

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

42%

Draw

21%

Away Win

38%

Both teams score43.4%

Over 2.5 goals44.9%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Kairat displayed a strong home attacking profile with a high xG, while Levski Sofia showed solid away form with a slightly lower xG but a better points-per-game ratio. Both teams had comparable corner averages, indicating active wing play. The match featured a closely contested and structured approach from both sides.

Goals

The combined xG indicated a moderate scoring game rather than a high-scoring encounter. Historically, over half a goal was almost guaranteed, but matches with more than two and a half goals occurred less frequently. The first half was characterized by cautious play, with most goal-scoring actions occurring after the break. Both teams scoring was less common, reflecting a tendency toward tight defensive performances.

Corners

Both teams averaged seven corners per game, leading to a total of around twelve corners in the match. This indicated a busy and competitive game on the flanks, with a high number of set-piece opportunities, especially in the latter stages.

Clean Sheets

Clean sheets were observed as a possible outcome given the balanced defensive records and the relatively low historical rate of both teams scoring. The match dynamics showed that one team maintained a shutout, particularly when an early goal allowed for a more controlled defensive approach.

Kairat and Levski Sofia faced off in a Champions League match marked by balanced attacking and defensive strengths.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Kairat · at homevsLevski Sofia · away

3.00PPG+200%1.00

2.00Goals/G+100%1.00

1.00Conceded↓ less is better+0%1.00

100.0%Both teams score100.0%

100.0%Over 2.5 goals0.0%

0.0%No goal conceded0.0%

Based on 1 home matches / 1 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

KairatvsLevski Sofia

2.10xG for+18%1.78

0.83xG against↓ less is better+13%0.94

Based on 1 home matches / 1 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

1.67Kairat

3.16Total

1.49Levski Sofia

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 46% BTTS · 2.53 goals per game, i.e. 1.29 per team

Balanced league

Kairatvs league avgLevski Sofia

2.00+55%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.29↑ more is better2.50+93%

0.50−60%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.24↓ less is better0.50−60%

50.0%+4 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 45.8%50.0%+4 pts

Based on 48 teams for the league averages; 2 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game1.00

Last meeting

4 Aug 2026awayKairat0-1Levski Sofia

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Kairat

Coming into this game, Kairat has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Kairat has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Kairat will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.

Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Kairat recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?

Kairat has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.

Just 1 of the last 5 games for Kairat has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 1/5 games for Kairat this season.

Levski Sofia

Coming into this game, Levski Sofia has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Levski Sofia has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Levski Sofia has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.

Momentum is really building for Levski Sofia as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.

Levski Sofia has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.

Levski Sofia is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Kairat, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.

Showing 5 of 7 trends.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.