Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps — Europa League preview & stats

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Europa League Europa League·

Omonia Nicosia

Lincoln Red Imps

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

48%

Draw

37%

Away Win

14%

Both teams score37.0%

Over 2.5 goals26.7%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Omonia Nicosia showed strong home form with a high winning percentage and an xG of 1.54 compared to 1.16 against, reflecting their offensive and defensive performance on familiar ground. Lincoln Red Imps had a lower xG of 0.76 and a higher xG against of 2.35 in away matches, indicating challenges in maintaining compact defense and reliance on counterattacks.

Goals

Both teams scored in their encounters, with historical records showing goals from each side in every match. The matches typically featured more than 0.5 and 1.5 goals, with a significant portion of goals occurring in the second half, indicating sustained offensive efforts throughout the game.

Corners

The average number of corners in matches between these teams was around nine per game. Omonia averaged two corners per game at home, while Lincoln averaged seven corners per game away. The home team's pressure contributed to the overall high corner count.

Clean Sheets

Defensive records showed that Omonia conceded fewer goals at home compared to Lincoln's away matches. Lincoln's higher xG against indicated difficulties in keeping clean sheets on the road, with multiple goals conceded in these fixtures.

Omonia Nicosia hosted Lincoln Red Imps in a closely contested Europa League match with notable goal and corner statistics.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

Expected in this match

1.53Omonia Nicosia

2.29Total

0.76Lincoln Red Imps

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 45% BTTS · 2.46 goals per game, i.e. 1.12 per team

Balanced league

Omonia Nicosiavs league avgLincoln Red Imps

1.00−11%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.12↑ more is better1.00−11%

1.00−25%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.34↓ less is better1.00−25%

100.0%+55 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 45.1%100.0%+55 pts

2.00−59%CornersLeague avg 4.837.00+45%

2.00−2%CardsLeague avg 2.045.00+145%

Based on 41 teams for the league averages; 1 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game2.00

Last meeting

6 Aug 2026awayOmonia Nicosia1-1Lincoln Red Imps

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.