Salzburg vs Paphos — Europa League preview & stats

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Europa League Europa League·

Salzburg

Paphos

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

34%

Draw

29%

Away Win

37%

Both teams score46.7%

Over 2.5 goals40.2%

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Salzburg played at home with an average xG of just over two and conceded slightly above one, reflecting a moderately strong home performance. Their home win rate was around 40%. Paphos, playing away, had a lower xG for and a slightly better defensive record, with an away win rate near 20%. The matchup historically produced a moderate number of goals, with an average combined xG of just above two per game.

Goals

The historical data showed that about 25% of matches exceeded 2.5 goals, indicating that while more goals than usual occurred in some matches, the games tended to be tight. The xG figures reflected results with one or two goals difference.

Corners

Both teams averaged zero corners per game in their respective home and away matches, indicating a lack of corner opportunities in their recent performances.

Clean Sheets

The defensive records suggested that both teams conceded just over one goal per game, implying that clean sheets were not frequent for either side in their recent fixtures.

Salzburg hosted Paphos in the Europa League with both teams showing moderate offensive and defensive metrics.

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

Expected in this match

—Salzburg

2.14Total

2.14Paphos

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.