LASK Linz vs Celtic — Champions League preview & stats

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Champions League Champions League·

LASK Linz

Celtic

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

42%

Draw

25%

Away Win

33%

Both teams score32.0%

Over 2.5 goals45.7%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

LASK Linz maintained a perfect home winning record leading into the match, supported by a home xG of 2.14, indicating a strong attacking presence at the Raiffeisen Arena. Celtic showed competitive away form with an xG of 1.84 and a 50% win rate on the road, reflecting their ability to score and compete away from home. The combined xG of approximately 4.17 reflected a game with significant scoring opportunities for both sides.

Goals

The match continued a trend where all previous encounters featured more than 2.5 goals, with early scoring patterns evident as first-half goals consistently exceeded 0.5 and 1.5 thresholds. Both teams contributed to the goal tally, aligning with the combined xG and historical goal distribution.

Corners

The teams averaged a total of 11 corners per game, with LASK Linz averaging 3 and Celtic 8. This high number of corners indicated active offensive play and frequent pressure in the penalty areas throughout the match.

Clean Sheets

Neither side maintained a clean sheet, reflecting the offensive strengths and defensive challenges observed in the game, consistent with LASK Linz's home form and Celtic's away scoring record.

LASK Linz hosted Celtic in a Champions League match characterized by strong home performance and high goal potential.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

LASK Linz5-1Celtic

Full time

49%Possession51%

3.80Match xG+245%1.10

40Shots+400%8

8Shots on target+167%3

10Corners+100%5

20Fouls↓ less is better+43%14

2Yellow cards↓ less is better+100%1

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Match xG 3.80–1.10 · pre-match xG 2.19–1.98

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

Expected in this match

2.19LASK Linz

4.17Total

1.98Celtic

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 54% BTTS · 2.91 goals per game, i.e. 1.33 per team

High-scoring league

LASK Linzvs league avgCeltic

0.00−100%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.33↑ more is better3.00+126%

3.00+90%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.58↓ less is better0.00−100%

0.0%−54 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 53.8%0.0%−54 pts

3.00−36%CornersLeague avg 4.698.00+71%

Based on 52 teams for the league averages; 1 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game3.00

Last meeting

19 Aug 2026awayLASK Linz0-3Celtic

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.