Viktoria Plzeň vs Red Star Belgrade — Europa League preview & stats

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Europa League Europa League·

Viktoria Plzeň

Red Star Belgrade

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

Draw

56%

Away Win

35%

Both teams score13.5%

Over 2.5 goals21.4%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Viktoria Plzeň demonstrated strong home performances with an average xG close to their conceded xG at home, while Red Star Belgrade showed a potent away xG profile, winning half of their away matches and losing the other half. Their historical encounters averaged a combined xG of just over three per game, indicating open and competitive matches.

Goals

Both teams had attacking tendencies reflected in their xG figures, with Viktoria Plzeň averaging around 1.3 goals per game and Red Star Belgrade producing a higher away xG near 2.5. Matches between these teams historically featured about three goals on average, with a tendency toward more than 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

Corners

Viktoria Plzeň averaged two corners per game at home, while Red Star Belgrade averaged one corner per away game. Despite this, Red Star was noted for winning more corners in their matches against Plzeň, suggesting a steady flow of set-piece opportunities and chances during the game.

Clean Sheets

The defensive records indicated that Viktoria Plzeň conceded an average xG of 1.25 at home, while Red Star Belgrade's away defensive performance was less consistent, aligning with the historical trend of both teams scoring in their encounters.

Viktoria Plzeň hosted Red Star Belgrade in a Europa League match featuring contrasting home and away strengths.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Viktoria Plzeň5-1Red Star Belgrade

Full time

55%Possession45%

4.27Match xG+374%0.90

41Shots+413%8

12Shots on target+500%2

8Corners+167%3

29Fouls↓ less is better+38%21

1Yellow cards↓ less is better+600%7

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Match xG 4.27–0.90 · pre-match xG 1.29–1.77

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

Expected in this match

1.29Viktoria Plzeň

3.06Total

1.77Red Star Belgrade

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 40% BTTS · 2.59 goals per game, i.e. 1.13 per team

Balanced league

Viktoria Plzeňvs league avgRed Star Belgrade

0.00−100%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.13↑ more is better3.00+165%

3.00+105%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.46↓ less is better0.00−100%

0.0%−40 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 40.0%0.0%−40 pts

2.00−55%CornersLeague avg 4.481.00−78%

Based on 52 teams for the league averages; 1 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game3.00

Last meeting

20 Aug 2026awayViktoria Plzeň0-3Red Star Belgrade

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.