Red Star Belgrade vs Viktoria Plzeň — Europa League preview & stats

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Europa League Europa League·

Red Star Belgrade

Viktoria Plzeň

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

31%

Draw

40%

Away Win

29%

Both teams score26.8%

Over 2.5 goals21.4%

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Red Star Belgrade demonstrated a strong home record with a win rate above half of their games, supported by a high xG for and a relatively low xG against, indicating offensive strength that outweighed defensive concerns. Viktoria Plzeň showed difficulties in away matches, with a lower win percentage and a moderate xG for and against, suggesting challenges in maintaining rhythm without effective transitions and set pieces.

Goals

The match featured goals from both teams, reflecting an open and attacking game. Red Star's offensive advantage was evident in their higher xG, while Viktoria Plzeň managed to score despite their away struggles. The goal distribution indicated a competitive encounter with key moments in the second half involving Red Star's attack.

Corners

Neither team recorded any corners during the match, which was unusual given the typical dynamics of European fixtures. This absence of corners suggested a different style of play or fewer attacking set-piece opportunities than commonly observed.

Clean Sheets

Both teams conceded goals, so no clean sheets were kept. Red Star's defense allowed some pressure from Viktoria Plzeň, but their overall defensive performance remained solid compared to their usual standards.

Red Star Belgrade hosted Viktoria Plzeň in a Europa League match marked by contrasting home and away performances.

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Red Star Belgrade3-0Viktoria Plzeň

Full time

50%Possession50%

1.77Match xG+37%1.29

12Shots+100%6

7Shots on target+40%5

1Corners+100%2

5Fouls↓ less is better+20%6

2Yellow cards↓ less is better+100%4

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.