Rapid Wien vs Hearts — Conference League preview & stats

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Conference League Conference League·

Rapid Wien

Hearts

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

59%

Draw

25%

Away Win

16%

Both teams score63.8%

Over 2.5 goals69.6%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Rapid Wien achieved a 100% home winning record in this competition, providing a strong foundation for positive results. Hearts faced difficulties on the road, with a 25% win rate and 75% loss rate away from home, and their opponents' xG increased during their travels.

Goals

The historical total xG between these teams averaged around 3.8 per game, indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches. Both teams scored in approximately 90% of their encounters, reflecting a frequent occurrence of goals from both sides. Rapid Wien averaged an xG of 2.18 per game, while Hearts averaged 1.66, reflecting an active attacking contest.

Corners

Both teams recorded an average of zero corners per game in this fixture, indicating a lack of corner opportunities during their meetings.

Clean Sheets

The high frequency of both teams scoring indicated that clean sheets were uncommon in this matchup, consistent with the offensive strengths reflected in the xG data.

Rapid Wien maintained a perfect home winning record while Hearts experienced challenges in away matches.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Rapid Wien2-2Hearts

Full time

71%Possession29%

1.50Match xG+206%0.49

10Shots+900%1

3Shots on target+200%1

13Corners+117%6

20Fouls↓ less is better+11%18

3Yellow cards↓ less is better+33%4

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Match xG 1.50–0.49 · pre-match xG 2.18–1.66

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

Expected in this match

2.18Rapid Wien

3.84Total

1.66Hearts

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game4.00

Last meeting

20 Aug 2026awayRapid Wien2-2Hearts

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.