Ajax vs Sion — Conference League preview & stats

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Conference League Conference League·

Ajax

Sion

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

62%

Draw

18%

Away Win

20%

Both teams score69.4%

Over 2.5 goals73.6%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Ajax demonstrated a strong home performance and maintained a higher xG compared to Sion, with pre-match xG values showing Ajax at 2.70 and Sion at 1.85, totaling around 4.55. This reflected a more active attacking presence from Ajax during the match.

Goals

Both teams scored during the game, continuing a trend where matches between these sides featured goals from both teams. The total goals exceeded 2.5, consistent with the combined xG profile and the observed attacking play, with a notable share of goals occurring in the first half.

Corners

Neither team recorded any corners in this match, which was unusual compared to previous encounters where a higher number of corners was typical. The average corners per game for both teams stood at zero for this fixture.

Clean Sheets

Both teams conceded goals, so no clean sheets were recorded in this match. The defensive lines allowed multiple scoring opportunities, consistent with the high xG figures and goal totals observed.

Ajax hosted Sion in the Conference League with a strong home record and higher xG figures.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Ajax5-3Sion

Full time

55%Possession45%

3.09Match xG+147%1.25

26Shots+136%11

15Shots on target+275%4

5Corners+150%2

5Fouls↓ less is better+40%7

0Yellow cards↓ less is better2

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Match xG 3.09–1.25 · pre-match xG 2.70–1.85

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

Expected in this match

2.70Ajax

4.55Total

1.85Sion

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game6.00

Last meeting

20 Aug 2026awayAjax4-2Sion

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Ajax

Coming into this game, Ajax has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Ajax has scored 17 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Ajax will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.

Momentum is really building for Ajax as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.

We might see some goals in this one, with the last 5 games involving Ajax has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Sion get in on the action today? There has been a total of 24 goals in the last 5 games for Ajax, both home and away.

Ajax is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Sion, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 17 goals in those 5 games.

Showing 5 of 7 trends.

Sion

Coming into this game, Sion has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Sion has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Sion has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.

It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Sion ending with 2 goals or more being scored.

Sion will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Ajax, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2

In the last 5 matches for Sion, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (80% of all matches) involving Sion has seen BTTS landing.

Showing 5 of 6 trends.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.