Hearts vs Rapid Wien — Conference League preview & stats

Free Preview — Subscribe for every pick and full access

Conference League Conference League·

Hearts

Rapid Wien

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

58%

Draw

19%

Away Win

23%

Both teams score57.8%

Over 2.5 goals65.5%

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Hearts demonstrated a strong home record with a 60% win rate, supported by a clear advantage in both attack and defense on familiar ground. Rapid Wien showed solid offensive capabilities away from home, reflected in a higher away xG and a confident counter-attacking approach. The match was characterized by a tactical balance, with Rapid Wien focusing on defense while maintaining notable attacking potential.

Goals

The overall goal expectation for this type of encounter was around 2.38 goals, with common scorelines including draws or narrow wins. Both teams scored in just over a third of similar matches, indicating that while both sides had scoring opportunities, the game could be decided by a single moment.

Corners

Both teams averaged no corners per game in this match, indicating a lack of set-piece opportunities from wide areas. This was unusual given the general tendency of both teams to seek to expand play, with Hearts typically having a slight advantage in corners compared to Rapid Wien.

Clean Sheets

Defensive solidity was a key feature, especially for Rapid Wien, whose away xG against was lower than their offensive xG. Hearts' home defense also contributed to maintaining a close and competitive match, with the defensive efforts keeping the scoreline tight throughout the game.

Hearts hosted Rapid Wien in a Conference League match featuring contrasting defensive and offensive styles.

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Hearts2-2Rapid Wien

Full time

39%Possession61%

1.66Match xG+20%1.38

17Shots+89%9

4Shots on target+50%6

4Corners+25%5

8Fouls↓ less is better+113%17

1Yellow cards↓ less is better+200%3

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Match xG 1.66–1.38 · pre-match xG —–2.39

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

Expected in this match

—Hearts

2.39Total

2.39Rapid Wien

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.