PAOK vs Brann — Conference League preview & stats

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Conference League Conference League·

PAOK

Brann

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

51%

Draw

25%

Away Win

24%

Both teams score61.0%

Over 2.5 goals63.7%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

PAOK showed solid home performance with an xG for of around 1.67 and an xG against near 1.21, indicating a capable offense and a relatively strong defense at home. Brann demonstrated notable away efficiency, producing an away xG of 1.62 and maintaining a points per game average of 1.75 before this match, reflecting their ability to challenge opponents on the road.

Goals

The matchup featured a moderate goal expectation, with historical averages around 1.9 total goals per game between these teams. Both teams scored in a fair number of their recent encounters, aligning with the observed BTTS (both teams to score) trend. The game unfolded with an initially tense but goal-rich start that gradually settled as the match progressed.

Corners

Neither team averaged any corners per game in their respective home or away matches leading up to this fixture, resulting in no significant corner statistics influencing the match dynamics.

Clean Sheets

PAOK’s home defensive record suggested a reasonable likelihood of conceding, as indicated by their xG against figure. Brann’s offensive strength on the road contributed to both teams finding the net, so clean sheets were not a prominent feature in this encounter.

PAOK hosted Brann in the opening match of the 2026/27 Conference League season at Stadio Toumbas.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

PAOK1-1Brann

Full time

43%Possession57%

2.30Match xG+171%0.85

23Shots+283%6

6Shots on target+500%1

8Corners+167%3

5Fouls↓ less is better+120%11

2Yellow cards↓ less is better+50%3

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Match xG 2.30–0.85 · pre-match xG —–1.48

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

Expected in this match

—PAOK

1.48Total

1.48Brann

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game2.00

PAOK · at home

0-1-0

1 match · 1-1 goals

Brann · away

0-1-0

1 match · 1-1 goals

Last meeting

27 Nov 2025homePAOK1-1Brann

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.