Lillestrøm vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Europa League preview & stats

← Back to Today

Free Preview — Subscribe for every pick and full access

Europa League Europa League·

Lillestrøm

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

43%

Draw

33%

Away Win

24%

Both teams score41.1%

Over 2.5 goals46.9%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Lillestrøm had a home xG of 1.44 and conceded an xG of 1.51, with a 40% win rate at home. Egnatia's away xG was 0.94, conceding 1.48 xG, and they had a 25% away win rate. Before the match, Lillestrøm averaged 1.00 points per game, while Egnatia averaged 1.33 points.

Goals

The average total xG for this pairing was 2.63, while historical matches between these teams averaged about 1.67 goals. Matches with over 4.5 goals occurred in 17% of cases, and over 3.5 goals in 34%. The teams had a combined BTTS (both teams to score) rate of 34%, with about 50% of BTTS instances happening in the first half.

Corners

Lillestrøm averaged 4.0 corners per game at home, while Egnatia averaged 5.0 corners per game away. Data indicated a consistent frequency of corners in this matchup.

Clean Sheets

Given the lower scoring trends and Egnatia's lower away xG, matches tended to have fewer goals and a higher likelihood of clean sheets, especially for the home side.

Lillestrøm hosted Egnatia Rrogozhinë in a Europa League match with moderate scoring expectations.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Lillestrøm2-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Full time

57%Possession43%

1.52Match xG+19%1.28

11Shots+0%11

4Shots on target+0%4

9Corners+13%8

18Fouls↓ less is better+100%9

3Yellow cards↓ less is better+50%2

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Match xG 1.52–1.28 · pre-match xG 0.99–1.64

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Lillestrøm · at homevsEgnatia Rrogozhinë · away

0.00PPG0.00

0.00Goals/G1.00

0.00Conceded↓ less is better3.00

0.0%Both teams score100.0%

0.0%Over 2.5 goals100.0%

0.0%No goal conceded0.0%

Based on 0 home matches / 1 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

LillestrømvsEgnatia Rrogozhinë

—xG for0.75

—xG against↓ less is better1.96

Based on 1 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

0.99Lillestrøm

2.63Total

1.64Egnatia Rrogozhinë

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 40% BTTS · 2.59 goals per game, i.e. 1.13 per team

Balanced league

Lillestrømvs league avgEgnatia Rrogozhinë

0.00−100%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.13↑ more is better2.00+77%

0.00−100%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.46↓ less is better1.33−9%

0.0%−40 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 40.0%67.0%+27 pts

4.00−11%CornersLeague avg 4.485.33+19%

Based on 52 teams for the league averages; 1 matches played for Lillestrøm, 3 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game0.00

Last meeting

20 Aug 2026awayLillestrøm0-0Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.