Napoli vs Arsenal — Champions League preview & stats

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Champions League Champions League·

Napoli

Arsenal

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

22%

Draw

29%

Away Win

49%

Both teams score35.2%

Over 2.5 goals32.0%

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Napoli played at home with a strong attacking profile, reflected in their higher xG at home compared to Arsenal's away xG. Arsenal showed solid away performance, maintaining a dangerous presence despite Napoli's home advantage.

Goals

Both teams demonstrated tendencies to score, with Napoli averaging a higher xG at home and Arsenal conceding a moderate xG away. The match featured multiple goals, consistent with both teams' recent scoring patterns.

Corners

Neither team averaged any corners per game in this match, resulting in no corner statistics to report.

Clean Sheets

Defensive efforts were challenged by the offensive strengths of both sides, leading to goals conceded by both teams during the match.

Napoli hosted Arsenal in the Champions League opening match of the 2026/27 season at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

25%

75%

Based on 4 matches

avg goals/game1.75

Napoli · at home

1-0-1

2 matches · 2-1 goals

Arsenal · away

1-0-1

2 matches · 1-2 goals

Last 4 meetings

18 Apr 2019homeNapoli0-1Arsenal

11 Apr 2019awayNapoli0-2Arsenal

11 Dec 2013homeNapoli2-0Arsenal

1 Oct 2013awayNapoli0-2Arsenal

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.