Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid — Champions League preview & stats

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Champions League Champions League·

Liverpool

Atlético Madrid

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

67%

Draw

11%

Away Win

22%

Both teams score61.1%

Over 2.5 goals77.6%

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Liverpool showed an attacking performance at home with an xG of 1.67 and conceded an xG of 1.41. Atlético Madrid demonstrated an away profile generating an xG of 1.27 while conceding 1.67, reflecting their challenges in difficult stadiums.

Goals

Both teams tested the goalkeepers, resulting in a balanced scoring environment rather than a defensively dominated match. The xG figures indicated a moderately open game with opportunities for both sides to score.

Corners

Both Liverpool and Atlético Madrid averaged zero corners per game in this fixture, indicating that set-piece opportunities from corners were not a significant factor in the match.

Clean Sheets

Liverpool's defense faced pressure from Atlético's away threat, making a clean sheet difficult to maintain. The defensive statistics showed that while Liverpool had a stronger defense at home, Atlético's attacking presence challenged their backline throughout the match.

Liverpool hosted Atlético Madrid in the Champions League with contrasting home and away performances.

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

57%

43%

Based on 7 matches

avg goals/game3.14

Liverpool · at home

3-0-1

4 matches · 9-6 goals

Atlético Madrid · away

1-0-3

4 matches · 6-9 goals

Last 7 meetings

17 Sept 2025homeLiverpool3-2Atlético Madrid

3 Nov 2021homeLiverpool2-0Atlético Madrid

19 Oct 2021awayLiverpool3-2Atlético Madrid

11 Mar 2020homeLiverpool2-3Atlético Madrid

18 Feb 2020awayLiverpool0-1Atlético Madrid

29 Apr 2010homeLiverpool2-1Atlético Madrid

22 Apr 2010awayLiverpool0-1Atlético Madrid

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.