Lille vs Real Betis — Champions League preview & stats

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Champions League Champions League·

Lille

Real Betis

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

58%

Draw

23%

Away Win

19%

Both teams score41.3%

Over 2.5 goals42.5%

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Lille and Real Betis began their Champions League campaigns with Lille playing at home in Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille's home xG was slightly lower than Betis's away xG, while both teams showed some defensive vulnerabilities. Lille had a home win rate of one-third, and Betis had a 40% away win rate, indicating competitive but cautious performances from both sides.

Goals

Both teams demonstrated offensive potential, with Lille's home xG at just over one and Betis's away xG slightly higher. The match featured goals, reflecting the teams' tendencies to find scoring opportunities, although it was not a high-scoring game. Both teams had moments of attacking threat, consistent with their season averages.

Corners

Neither team averaged any corners per game in this match, indicating a lack of set-piece opportunities from wide positions. This absence of corners contrasted with pre-match expectations of a busy start with multiple corners, showing a more restrained approach in this aspect.

Clean Sheets

Clean sheets were not a prominent feature for either team, with Lille and Betis both showing some defensive susceptibility. The match did not result in a clean sheet for either side, aligning with their season records that suggested a tendency to concede goals at home and away respectively.

Lille hosted Real Betis in the Champions League with both teams showing balanced offensive and defensive records.

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Lille2-3Real Betis

Full time

45%Possession55%

0.84Match xG+129%1.92

6Shots+233%20

2Shots on target+150%5

5Corners+0%5

11Fouls↓ less is better+9%12

1Yellow cards↓ less is better+200%3

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.