Sturm Graz vs Rennes — Europa League preview & stats

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Europa League Europa League·

Sturm Graz

Rennes

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

66%

Draw

20%

Away Win

13%

Both teams score39.1%

Over 2.5 goals47.2%

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Sturm Graz maintained a 50% home win rate with an average home xG close to their xG against, indicating a balanced but solid defensive performance at Merkur Arena. Rennes showed a lower away win rate with slightly less efficient xG figures on the road, suggesting challenges in securing victories away from home. The match was positioned as a competitive start to the European season, with both teams presenting credible threats.

Goals

Both teams contributed to an open game with chances at both ends, reflected in the combined xG values near 1.7 for each side. The match featured more than two and a half goals, and both teams scored, reflecting offensive involvement from each side rather than a defensive stalemate.

Corners

Neither Sturm Graz nor Rennes averaged any corners per game in this context, resulting in no corner count advantage for either team during the match.

Clean Sheets

Sturm Graz had a moderate frequency of clean sheets at home, but Rennes scored in this fixture. Rennes’ clean sheet frequency was lower, consistent with conceding at least one goal in this match.

Sturm Graz hosted Rennes in the Europa League season opener at Merkur Arena with balanced home and away strengths.

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.