Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka — Conference League preview & stats

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Conference League Conference League·

Panathinaikos

Borac Banja Luka

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

15%

Draw

23%

Away Win

62%

Both teams score31.8%

Over 2.5 goals41.5%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Panathinaikos played at home against Borac Banja Luka in the opening match of the Conference League group stage. Panathinaikos recorded a higher home xG compared to Borac's away xG. The home team demonstrated a consistent home form, reflected in their higher chance creation and overall dominance in the match data.

Goals

The match included a high number of goals, supported by an overall xG of around four for the game. Panathinaikos accounted for the majority of this xG, while Borac also created chances. Both teams scored, consistent with an 84% historical rate of both teams scoring in similar fixtures. A significant share of goals occurred in the first half, aligning with the trend of early scoring in such encounters.

Corners

The game featured a lively corner count, with Panathinaikos averaging over seven corners per game at home and Borac averaging just over three away. The total corners approached twelve, reflecting an intense and attacking style from the home side, who tended to lead in corner statistics.

Clean Sheets

Neither team kept a clean sheet, as both sides managed to score during the match. This outcome matched the high frequency of both teams scoring in their previous meetings and similar competitive contexts.

Panathinaikos hosted Borac Banja Luka in a Conference League match featuring notable attacking and corner statistics.

Recent form and stats

How both teams are playing right now, over two windows — one long, one short. A gap between the two says a trend is shifting.

Last 5 matches

PanathinaikosvsBorac Banja Luka

2.40PPG+0%2.40

80.0%Wins80.0%

1.80Goals/G+13%1.60

0.40Conceded↓ less is better+100%0.80

20.0%Both teams score40.0%

40.0%Over 2.5 goals40.0%

60.0%No goal conceded40.0%

7.3Corners / game+120%3.3

1.3Cards / game+75%2.3

Goals · 1st half

60.0%Over 1.5 goals60.0%

20.0%Over 3.5 goals20.0%

60.0%A goal in 1st half60.0%

0.0%Both teams score · 1st half20.0%

Based on the last 5 matches.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Wins: The share of matches won. A draw does not count here, even though it earns a point.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.
Corners / game: Corners won per game, on average. Neither good nor bad in itself: it is a style trait.
Cards / game: Cards received per game, on average — yellow and red combined.
Over 1.5 goals: The share of matches with 2 goals or more.
Over 3.5 goals: The share of matches with 4 goals or more.
A goal in 1st half: The share of matches where at least one goal was scored before half-time.
Both teams score · 1st half: The share of matches where both teams had scored BEFORE half-time.

Recent form

Panathinaikos

LWWWW

Borac Banja Luka

WWWWL

Most recent on the left.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Panathinaikos · at homevsBorac Banja Luka · away

1.00PPG+33%1.33

1.67Goals/G+40%2.33

1.67Conceded↓ less is better+20%2.00

100.0%Both teams score100.0%

67.0%Over 2.5 goals100.0%

0.0%No goal conceded0.0%

Based on 3 home matches / 3 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

PanathinaikosvsBorac Banja Luka

2.20xG for+31%1.68

1.25xG against↓ less is better+33%1.66

Based on 3 home matches / 3 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

2.16Panathinaikos

4.01Total

1.85Borac Banja Luka

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 50% BTTS · 2.80 goals per game, i.e. 1.16 per team

Balanced league

Panathinaikosvs league avgBorac Banja Luka

1.83+58%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.16↑ more is better2.33+102%

1.33−19%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.64↓ less is better1.17−29%

100.0%+50 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 50.2%67.0%+17 pts

6.67+47%CornersLeague avg 4.555.17+14%

Based on 100 teams for the league averages; 6 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Estimates

Projected figures for this match.

3.34Expected goals

83%Over 2.5 goals

84%Both teams score

11.8Corners

4.8Cards

Head to head — 1 match

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

100%

Based on 1 match

avg goals/game2.00

Last meeting

3 Oct 2024awayPanathinaikos1-1Borac Banja Luka

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Panathinaikos

Coming into this game, Panathinaikos has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Panathinaikos has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Panathinaikos has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.

Momentum is really building for Panathinaikos as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.

Panathinaikos is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Borac Banja Luka, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.

The last 5 games for Panathinaikos has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Panathinaikos has seen a total of 6/6 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 100% of all matches played.

Borac Banja Luka

Coming into this game, Borac Banja Luka has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Borac Banja Luka has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Borac Banja Luka has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.

Borac Banja Luka will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Panathinaikos, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1

In the last 5 matches for Borac Banja Luka, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (67% of all matches) involving Borac Banja Luka has seen BTTS landing.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.