Celje vs Slovan Bratislava — Champions League preview & stats

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Champions League Champions League·

Celje

Slovan Bratislava

Win Probabilities

The chances our model gives each outcome. This is our estimate, not the market's.

Home Win

47%

Draw

26%

Away Win

27%

Both teams score52.3%

Over 2.5 goals48.5%

Match analysis

Context for the match, written from third-party data. Enough to situate the fixture before getting into the numbers.

Form & Context

Celje showed a home average xG of approximately 1.52 and maintained a home win rate near 40 percent, indicating a solid but not dominant home performance. Slovan Bratislava demonstrated an away average xG of about 1.42 and recorded a strong historical away record with a 100 percent away win rate in similar contexts. Celje averaged around 1.20 points per game, while Slovan Bratislava averaged about 2.20 points per game, reflecting Slovan's stronger recent form and efficiency on the road.

Goals

The match featured a tendency towards fewer than 3.5 goals, with a notable share of games involving both teams scoring, as approximately 70 percent of recent matches saw goals from both sides. The xG data showed a balanced offensive potential, with Celje slightly higher at home but Slovan Bratislava maintaining competitive attacking threat away.

Corners

Celje averaged 8.0 corners per game at home, while Slovan Bratislava averaged 2.5 corners per away game, leading to an expected total of about 7.6 corners in the match. The contest involved active wing play, contributing to a corner count around 8 to 9 in total.

Clean Sheets

The match context and scoring patterns indicated that clean sheets were less common, given the frequent occurrence of both teams scoring. Neither side demonstrated a dominant defensive record sufficient to prevent goals in this fixture.

Celje hosted Slovan Bratislava in a Champions League match featuring contrasting home and away strengths.

Match report

The match record, worth comparing with what was expected above. The xG here is an estimate, not a count.

Celje1-2Slovan Bratislava

Full time

62%Possession38%

2.27Match xG+14%2.00

20Shots+18%17

7Shots on target+14%8

5Corners+60%8

15Fouls↓ less is better+25%12

5Yellow cards↓ less is better+400%1

xG: a third-party estimate, not a count.

Match xG 2.27–2.00 · pre-match xG 1.53–1.39

Recent form and stats

How both teams are playing right now, over two windows — one long, one short. A gap between the two says a trend is shifting.

Last 5 matches

CeljevsSlovan Bratislava

2.00PPG+30%2.60

60.0%Wins80.0%

1.60Goals/G+50%2.40

0.80Conceded↓ less is better+33%0.60

60.0%Both teams score60.0%

40.0%Over 2.5 goals60.0%

40.0%No goal conceded40.0%

8.0Corners / game+220%2.5

4.5Cards / game+125%2.0

Goals · 1st half

80.0%Over 1.5 goals100.0%

20.0%Over 3.5 goals20.0%

60.0%A goal in 1st half60.0%

60.0%Both teams score · 1st half20.0%

Based on the last 5 matches.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Wins: The share of matches won. A draw does not count here, even though it earns a point.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.
Corners / game: Corners won per game, on average. Neither good nor bad in itself: it is a style trait.
Cards / game: Cards received per game, on average — yellow and red combined.
Over 1.5 goals: The share of matches with 2 goals or more.
Over 3.5 goals: The share of matches with 4 goals or more.
A goal in 1st half: The share of matches where at least one goal was scored before half-time.
Both teams score · 1st half: The share of matches where both teams had scored BEFORE half-time.

Recent form

Celje

DWWWL

Slovan Bratislava

WDWWW

Most recent on the left.

Home / Away Splits

Some teams are two different teams depending on the venue. This block is where you find out whether that is the case here.

This season — home team's home record vs away team's away record

Celje · at homevsSlovan Bratislava · away

2.00PPG+50%3.00

2.00Goals/G+0%2.00

1.00Conceded↓ less is better+100%0.50

50.0%Both teams score50.0%

50.0%Over 2.5 goals50.0%

50.0%No goal conceded50.0%

Based on 2 home matches / 2 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
PPG: Points per game: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss, divided by matches played. It is the most direct measure of what a team collects, whatever the scoreline.
Goals/G: Goals scored per game, on average.
Conceded: Goals conceded per game, on average.
Both teams score: The share of matches where BOTH teams scored at least once. A 3-0 does not count; a 1-1 does.
Over 2.5 goals: The share of matches with 3 goals or more, both teams combined. “2.5” is not a possible score: the threshold is written that way so there can be no tie.
No goal conceded: The share of matches finished without conceding a single goal.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chances created, regardless of what they returned. A team can win while scoring less than it should have.

This season — home for the home side, away for the visitors

CeljevsSlovan Bratislava

1.58xG for+33%1.19

0.89xG against↓ less is better+26%1.12

Based on 2 home matches / 2 away matches this season.

›Understanding these indicators

Sample: The sample changes from block to block: the most recent matches over two windows, the whole season, or only home and away fixtures. The same label therefore appears several times on this page without covering the same matches. At the top of each block, the title or subtitle says which; at the bottom, the “Sample” line gives the number of matches, team by team.
The gap, in percent: The relative gap between the two teams, in the colour of the one ahead. “+26%” means its figure is 26% higher than the opponent's. It is shown on averages only; percentages are compared by eye on their bar.
xG for: Expected goals: what the chances created were worth, regardless of what went in. A team scoring little with a high xG missed its chances, not its attacks.
xG against: Expected goals against: what the chances conceded were worth.

Expected in this match

1.53Celje

2.92Total

1.39Slovan Bratislava

League Context

The same number does not mean the same thing in every league. Each team is placed against its own.

League averages: 55% BTTS · 2.99 goals per game, i.e. 1.36 per team

High-scoring league

Celjevs league avgSlovan Bratislava

1.80+32%Attack (goals for)League avg 1.36↑ more is better1.60+17%

1.60−2%Defence (goals against)League avg 1.63↓ less is better0.60−63%

80.0%+25 ptsBoth teams scoreLeague avg 55.3%60.0%+5 pts

5.20+10%CornersLeague avg 4.732.40−49%

Based on 52 teams for the league averages; 5 matches played by each of the two teams.

›Understanding this block

What is compared: Each team's profile over the whole season — home and away combined — against its own league's average. This is the only section of the page where both teams are read on the same basis; elsewhere the numbers come from the home or away split.
Why two units: A goal average has no scale of its own: “1.59 goals” says nothing until you know what the league does, so the gap is given in relative terms (“+23%”). A percentage already has one: the gap between 73% and 58% is given in points (“+15 pts”), never in relative terms — that would be a percentage of a percentage.
What the sign means: A “+” only means “above the league average”. It is not always favourable: above on goals scored is an asset, above on goals conceded is not. Those two rows carry the matching note. The others — corners, cards, both teams to score — describe a style of play, not a quality: they carry none.
The reference: Under each label, “League avg” is the competition's average per team — the second figure in the block header. The first counts the goals of both teams together: that is why it is roughly twice as large.
The colours: Cyan is the home team, amber the away team — the two names at the top of the block already carry those tints. They say nothing about whether a number is good.

Estimates

Projected figures for this match.

2.80Expected goals

40%Over 2.5 goals

70%Both teams score

7.6Corners

5.0Cards

Head to head — 3 matches

The direct record between these two teams. Often few matches — the count is shown so you know what it is worth.

67%

33%

Based on 3 matches

avg goals/game3.00

Celje · at home

0-1-0

1 match · 1-1 goals

Slovan Bratislava · away

0-1-0

1 match · 1-1 goals

Last 3 meetings

19 Aug 2026awayCelje1-1Slovan Bratislava

30 Jul 2024awayCelje0-5Slovan Bratislava

24 Jul 2024homeCelje1-1Slovan Bratislava

Match Insights

Runs and counts for both teams, with commentary. That commentary sometimes looks ahead to the match: it is not our model's view.

Celje

Coming into this game, Celje has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Celje has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Celje has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.

Celje will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.

Celje has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.

It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Celje ending with 2 goals or more being scored.

Showing 5 of 8 trends.

Slovan Bratislava

Coming into this game, Slovan Bratislava has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Slovan Bratislava has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Slovan Bratislava has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.

Momentum is really building for Slovan Bratislava as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.

It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Slovan Bratislava ending with 2 goals or more being scored.

Slovan Bratislava is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Celje, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.

Showing 5 of 7 trends.

Third-party source

Some of the data and text on this page comes from a third-party source, not from our model. Not our probabilities, and not a result prediction.

Statistical analysis only. Not financial advice. Predictions, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.